Université de Lausanne
Ecole des HEC
Département d'économétrie et d'économie politique

Tuesday May 19, 2009, 13:00
Extranef, Dorigny, room 118

Adrian BRUHIN
(University of Zurich)

Rationality on the Rise: Why Relative Risk Aversion

Increases with Stake Size

 
Abstract

How does risk tolerance vary with stake size? This important question cannot be adequately answered if framing effects, nonlinear probability weighting, and heterogeneity of preference types are neglected. We show that the increase in relative risk aversion over gains cannot be captured by the curvature of the utility function. It is driven predominantly by a change in probability weighting of a majority group of individuals who exhibit more rational probability weighting at high stakes. Contrary to gains, no coherent change in relative risk aversion is observed for losses. These results not only challenge expected utility theory, but also prospect theory.